Current election polls and polling data from Survation

Latest voting intention survey by Survation for United Kingdom

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Survation, the parties received the following results: Labour 27%, Reform UK 24%, Tories 22%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Green Party 8%, Scottish National Party 3% and Plaid Cymru 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1670 people during the period 29.01.2025 - 29.01.2025.
1670 participants
28.01.2025 - 29.01.2025
Survation
Lab
27.0
-15.0
Reform
24.0
+13.0
Con
22.0
-3.0
LDEM
13.0
+2.0
Greens
8.0
+3.0
SNP
3.0
+1.0
PC
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
-1.0

Seats in parliament

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
180
27.7%
Greens
53
8.2%
SNP
20
3.1%
PC
6
0.9%
LDEM
86
13.2%
Con
145
22.3%
Reform
160
24.6%
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
63.2%
Reform UK + Tories + Liberal Democrats
60.2%
Labour + Tories + Green Party
58.2%
Labour + Tories + Scottish National Party
53.1%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
52.2%
Labour + Tories + Plaid Cymru
50.9%
Labour + Tories
50.0%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Plaid Cymru
50.0%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
49.1%

65

PolitPro Score

Survation achieves a score of 65/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Con
26
44
30
Greens
51
48
1
LDEM
20
52
29
Lab
16
49
34
PC
2
98
0
Reform
56
30
14
SNP
2
98
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Survation pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.