Latest voting intention survey by WeThink for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by WeThink, the parties received the following results: Labour 42%, Tories 20%, Reform UK 16%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 7% and Scottish National Party 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1210 people during the period 28.06.2024 - 28.06.2024.
1210 participants
27.06.2024 - 28.06.2024
WeThink
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Lab
42.0
±0.0
Con
20.0
-2.0
Reform
16.0
+2.0
LDEM
10.0
-1.0
Greens
7.0
+1.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
279
42.9%
Greens
46
7.1%
SNP
20
3.1%
LDEM
66
10.2%
Con
133
20.5%
Reform
106
16.3%
Labour + Tories
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
Labour + Liberal Democrats
Labour + Green Party
63
PolitPro Score
WeThink achieves a score of 63/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in WeThink pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.83
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2024 | 6/9 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.