Current election polls and polling data from Tecnè

Latest voting intention survey by Tecnè for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Tecnè, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29.9%, Partito Democratico 22.2%, Forza Italia 11.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.4%, Lega 8%, AVS 6.2%, Azione 2.8%, Italia Viva 2.2% and Più Europa 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 13.03.2025 - 13.03.2025. The survey was commissioned by Dire.
1000 participants
12.03.2025 - 13.03.2025
Tecnè
Dire
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.9
PD
+3.1
FI
+3.4
M5S
-4.0
Lega
-0.8
AVS
+2.6
A
New
IV
New
+E
-0.8
FdI
29.9
+0.1
PD
22.2
-0.2
FI
11.5
+0.2
M5S
11.4
+0.1
Lega
8.0
-0.1
AVS
6.2
+0.1
A
2.8
±0.0
IV
2.2
-0.1
+E
2.0
±0.0
Others
3.8
-0.1

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
51
12.8%
AVS
28
7%
PD
100
25%
FI
51
12.8%
FdI
134
33.5%
Lega
36
9%
Partito Democratico + Forza Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
59.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
59.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
55.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
53.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
49.5%
72

PolitPro Score

Tecnè achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
0
99
1
A
0
100
0
AVS
0
100
0
FI
0
25
75
FdI
1
87
12
IV
0
100
0
Lega
9
85
7
M5S
15
83
2
PD
2
95
4

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.8

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Tecnè pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.83
 Parliamentary Election in Italien 2022 14/18

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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