Current election polls and polling data from Winpoll

Latest voting intention survey by Winpoll for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Winpoll, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.4%, Partito Democratico 24.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11%, Lega 8.5%, Forza Italia 8.3%, AVS 7%, Italia Viva 2.9%, Azione 2.8%, Più Europa 2% and PTD 1.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1600 people during the period 26.03.2025 - 26.03.2025.
1600 participants
17.03.2025 - 26.03.2025
Winpoll
FdI
27.4
+0.1
PD
24.6
+3.8
M5S
11.0
-4.4
Lega
8.5
-0.4
FI
8.3
+0.3
AVS
7.0
+3.1
IV
2.9
+0.3
A
2.8
-1.4
+E
2.0
-0.1
PTD
1.5
+1.5
Others
4.0
-2.8

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
51
12.8%
AVS
32
8%
PD
113
28.3%
FI
38
9.5%
FdI
127
31.8%
Lega
39
9.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
60.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
54.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
52.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
51.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
49.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.0%

59

PolitPro Score

Winpoll achieves a score of 59/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
43
57
0
A
0
100
0
AVS
Not enough data available
FI
11
56
33
FdI
22
33
44
IV
0
100
0
Lega
22
67
11
M5S
56
44
0
PD
0
44
56

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.