Latest voting intention survey by Winpoll for Italy
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Winpoll, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.3%, Partito Democratico 20.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.4%, Lega 8.9%, Forza Italia 8%, Azione 4.2%, AVS 3.9%, Italia Viva 2.6%, Più Europa 2.1%, Italexit 1.2% and UP 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 03.10.2023 - 03.10.2023.
1000 participants
29.09.2023 - 03.10.2023
Winpoll
FdI
27.3
-1.4
PD
20.8
-0.5
M5S
15.4
+1.0
Lega
8.9
+1.8
FI
8.0
-5.3
A
4.2
+0.7
AVS
3.9
+0.8
IV
2.6
+0.6
+E
2.1
+0.3
Exit
1.2
+1.2
UP
0.7
-0.6
Others
4.9
+1.4
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
70
17.5%
AVS
17
4.3%
PD
94
23.5%
A
19
4.8%
FI
36
9%
FdI
124
31%
Lega
40
10%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + AVS
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
58
PolitPro Score
Winpoll achieves a score of 58/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.