Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by EMG from 07.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
24.5
+0.7
PD
19.5
-1.4
M5S
13.0
+1.0
Lega
12.0
-0.3
FI
8.0
-0.2
A/IV
8.0
+0.3
+E
3.0
+0.7
AVS
3.0
-0.1
NM
3.0
-0.1
Exit
2.5
-0.4
IC
1.5
+0.3
Sonst.
2.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.5
PD
+0.4
M5S
-2.4
Lega
+3.2
FI
-0.1
A/IV
+0.2
+E
+0.2
AVS
-0.6
NM
+2.1
Exit
+0.6
IC
+0.9
EMG – 1000 respondents – 05.09.2022-07.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from EMG shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.5%, Partito Democratico 19.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13%, Lega 12%, Forza Italia 8%, A/IV 8%, Più Europa 3%, AVS 3%, NM 3%, Italexit 2.5% and IC 1.5%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 50.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by EMG. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (05.09.2022 - 07.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
56
AVS
12
PD
84
A/IV
34
+E
12
FI
34
NM
12
FdI
105
Lega
51
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
225
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
212
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Più Europa
207
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + NM
207
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
208
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + Più Europa
202
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + NM
202
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Più Europa + AVS
198
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Più Europa + NM
198
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Più Europa + NM
198
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
190

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by EMG. The survey took place between 05.09.2022 and 07.09.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 24.5%, Partito Democratico 19.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13%, Lega 12%, Forza Italia 8%, A/IV 8%, Più Europa 3%, AVS 3%, NM 3%, Italexit 2.5% and IC 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.