Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Cluster17 from 09.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
24.4
±0.0
PD
20.8
±0.0
M5S
14.1
±0.0
Lega
11.3
±0.0
FI
8.4
±0.0
A/IV
6.8
±0.0
AVS
3.6
±0.0
Exit
3.3
±0.0
+E
2.4
±0.0
UP
1.2
±0.0
NM
0.7
±0.0
IC
0.6
±0.0
Sonst.
2.4
±0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.6
PD
+1.7
M5S
-1.3
Lega
+2.5
FI
+0.3
A/IV
-1.0
AVS
±0.0
Exit
+1.4
+E
-0.4
UP
-0.2
NM
-0.2
IC
±0.0
Cluster17 – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 09.09.2022-09.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Cluster17 shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.4%, Partito Democratico 20.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14.1%, Lega 11.3%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/IV 6.8%, AVS 3.6%, Italexit 3.3%, Più Europa 2.4%, UP 1.2%, NM 0.7% and IC 0.6%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Fratelli d’Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 47.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (09.09.2022 - 09.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
61
AVS
15
PD
90
A/IV
29
FI
36
FdI
106
Lega
49
Exit
14
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
236
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
216
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
216
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS + Italexit
209
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + Italexit
205
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
203
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italexit
201
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italexit
196
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
191

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Cluster17. The poll was conducted on 09.09.2022 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 24.4%, Partito Democratico 20.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14.1%, Lega 11.3%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/IV 6.8%, AVS 3.6%, Italexit 3.3%, Più Europa 2.4%, UP 1.2%, NM 0.7% and IC 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.