Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Demopolis from 02.08.2023

Polling data

FdI
28.8
-0.4
PD
20.2
-0.3
M5S
15.9
+0.9
Lega
9.3
+0.3
FI
7.0
+0.2
A
3.4
-0.9
AVS
3.0
-0.2
Sonst.
12.4
+0.4
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+2.8
PD
+1.1
M5S
+0.5
Lega
+0.5
FI
-1.1
A
AVS
-0.6
Demopolis – 1500 respondents – 01.08.2023-02.08.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Demopolis shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28.8%, Partito Democratico 20.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 9.3%, Forza Italia 7%, Azione 3.4% and AVS 3%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 51.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Demopolis. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (01.08.2023 - 02.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
AVS
13
PD
93
A
15
M5S
73
FI
32
FdI
132
Lega
42
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
240
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
213
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
206
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
205
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
198

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Demopolis. The survey took place between 01.08.2023 and 02.08.2023 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28.8%, Partito Democratico 20.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 9.3%, Forza Italia 7%, Azione 3.4% and AVS 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.