United Kingdom
Election trend
Parties

United Kingdom: Poll by BMG Research from 07.03.2024

Polling data

Lab
41.0
+4.0
Con
25.0
-14.0
Reform
13.0
+10.0
LDEM
10.0
+1.0
Greens
6.0
±0.0
SNP
3.0
-1.0
Sonst.
2.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 12.12.2019
Lab
+8.8
Con
-18.6
Reform
+11.0
LDEM
-1.5
Greens
+3.3
SNP
-0.9
BMG Research – 1541 respondents – 06.03.2024-07.03.2024
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Green Party higher
In 38% of election polls, BMG Research rates Green Party higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats higher
In 63% of election polls, BMG Research rates Liberal Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reform UK lower
In 33% of election polls BMG Research rates Reform UK lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories lower
In 63% of election polls BMG Research rates Tories lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in United Kingdom from BMG Research shows the following results: Labour 41%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 13%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Reform UK might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.0 growth since the last election. Tories, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Rishi Sunak is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Tories. With 25.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by BMG Research. For this purpose, 1541 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.03.2024 - 07.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
Labour + Tories
0
Labour + Liberal Democrats
0
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
0
Tories + Reform UK + Liberal Democrats
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in United Kingdom was conducted by BMG Research. The survey took place between 06.03.2024 and 07.03.2024 among 1541 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Labour 41%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 13%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.