United Kingdom
Election trend
Parties

United Kingdom: Poll by Opinium from 22.03.2024

Polling data

Lab
41.0
±0.0
Con
25.0
±0.0
Reform
11.0
±0.0
LDEM
10.0
±0.0
Greens
8.0
+1.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
2.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 12.12.2019
Lab
+8.8
Con
-18.6
Reform
+9.0
LDEM
-1.5
Greens
+5.3
SNP
-0.9
Opinium – 1318 respondents – 20.03.2024-22.03.2024
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Labour lower
In 45% of election polls Opinium rates Labour lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats lower
In 43% of election polls Opinium rates Liberal Democrats lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reform UK higher
In 30% of election polls, Opinium rates Reform UK higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories higher
In 36% of election polls, Opinium rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in United Kingdom from Opinium shows the following results: Labour 41%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 11%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 8% and Scottish National Party 3%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Reform UK might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.0 growth since the last election. Tories, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Rishi Sunak is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Tories. With 25.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinium. For this purpose, 1318 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (20.03.2024 - 22.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

650
Greens
53
Lab
272
SNP
20
LDEM
66
Con
166
Reform
73
Majority requires 326 seats
Labour + Tories
438
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
345
Labour + Liberal Democrats
338
Labour + Green Party
325

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in United Kingdom was conducted by Opinium. The survey took place between 20.03.2024 and 22.03.2024 among 1318 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Labour 41%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 11%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 8% and Scottish National Party 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.