Polls, trends and elections for Salzburg

Current Election Trend for Salzburg

ÖVP
30.0
FPÖ
26.0
SPÖ
18.0
KPÖ
15.0
GRÜNE
7.0
Sonst.
4.0
Development since the last election on 23.04.2023
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Salzburg is expected to take place in 2028.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 58.4% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Salzburg?

In the current election trend in Salzburg, ÖVP leads with 30% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.4 percentage points).

FPÖ reaches 26% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.2 percentage points).

SPÖ reaches 18% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.1 percentage points).

KPÖ lands at 15% and gains +3.3 percentage points since the last election.

GRÜNE experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 7% (-1.2).

4% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from GMK for Salzburger Nachrichten, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 800 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Salzburg, the government from ÖVP and FPÖ would secure 58.4% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ, KPÖ and GRÜNE reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 70.9% - 29.1% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Salzburg

What is the latest poll for Salzburg?

The latest poll for the election in Salzburg was published by GMK. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 30%, FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 18%, KPÖ 15% and GRÜNE 7%.

Coalitions

ÖVP + FPÖ
58.4
ÖVP + SPÖ
50.1
FPÖ + SPÖ
45.9

Which coalitions are currently possible in Salzburg?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from ÖVP and FPÖ and Coalition from ÖVP and SPÖ each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Salzburg shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
ÖVP
FPÖ
SPÖ
KPÖ
GRÜNE
Show more

Salzburg — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Salzburg in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Salzburg took place on 23.04.2023.

Government and parliament

Wilfried Haslauer
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 36
Government & opposition
Government : 22
Opposition : 14
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 14
Right-leaning parties : 22

Which parties are in the parliament of Salzburg?

In the parliament of Salzburg, there are 36 representatives from 5 parties. 22 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and FPÖ. The opposition from SPÖ, KPÖ and GRÜNE has 14 representatives.

14 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 22 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Salzburg?

Wilfried Haslauer governs in Salzburg with a coalition of ÖVP and FPÖ.

State election in Salzburg 2028

The State election in Salzburg 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Wilfried Haslauer is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition of ÖVP and FPÖ. In the last State election in Salzburg in 2023, ÖVP (30.4% - 12 seats), FPÖ (25.8% - 10 seats), SPÖ (17.9% - 7 seats), KPÖ (11.7% - 4 seats) and GRÜNE (8.2% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 70.9%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Salzburg?

The next election in Salzburg is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who is the president of Salzburg?

The head of state of Salzburg is Wilfried Haslauer.

Who governs in Salzburg?

Wilfried Haslauer governs in Salzburg with a coalition of ÖVP and FPÖ.

What is the latest poll for Salzburg?

The latest poll for the election in Salzburg was published by GMK. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 30%, FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 18%, KPÖ 15% and GRÜNE 7%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Salzburg?

In the parliament of Salzburg, there are 36 representatives from 5 parties. 22 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and FPÖ. The opposition from SPÖ, KPÖ and GRÜNE has 14 representatives.