Polling data
ÖVP
33.0
+7.0
FPÖ
21.0
+3.0
SPÖ
17.0
-4.0
FRITZ
12.0
-2.0
GRÜNE
9.0
±0.0
NEOS
6.0
-1.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
Market – 800 respondents – 28.11.2022-15.12.2022
Tyrol - The latest poll for the State election in Tirol from Market shows the following results: ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, FPÖ might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 42.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Market. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (28.11.2022 - 15.12.2022).
Low number of respondents
Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.
Coalition possibilities
ÖVP + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser + GRÜNE
ÖVP + FPÖ
ÖVP + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser + NEOS
ÖVP + SPÖ
ÖVP + GRÜNE + NEOS
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 42.9% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by Market. The survey took place between 28.11.2022 and 15.12.2022 among 800 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.