Latest voting intention survey by Karmasin for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Karmasin, the parties received the following results: ÖVP 42%, SPÖ 19%, GRÜNE 15%, FPÖ 13% and NEOS 8%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 09.06.2020 - 09.06.2020. The survey was commissioned by PULS 24.
1000 participants
05.06.2020 - 09.06.2020
Karmasin
PULS 24
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
36
19.7%
GRÜNE
28
15.3%
NEOS
15
8.2%
ÖVP
80
43.7%
FPÖ
24
13.1%
ÖVP + SPÖ
ÖVP + GRÜNE
ÖVP + FPÖ
ÖVP + NEOS
79
PolitPro Score
Karmasin achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Karmasin for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Karmasin pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.42
|
Parliamentary Election in Burgenland 2020 | 1/1 |
|
1.98
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2019 | 2/7 |
|
1.92
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2015 | 3/4 |
|
1.78
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2013 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.