Latest voting intention survey by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft, the parties received the following results: FPÖ 34%, SPÖ 22%, ÖVP 19%, GRÜNE 10%, NEOS 9% and KPÖ 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 04.02.2025 - 04.02.2025. The survey was commissioned by ÖSTERREICH.
2000 participants
27.01.2025 - 04.02.2025
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft
ÖSTERREICH
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
43
23.5%
GRÜNE
19
10.4%
NEOS
17
9.3%
ÖVP
37
20.2%
FPÖ
67
36.6%
FPÖ + SPÖ
FPÖ + ÖVP
SPÖ + ÖVP + GRÜNE
SPÖ + ÖVP + NEOS
77
PolitPro Score
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
0.75
|
Parliamentary Election in Steiermark 2024 | 1/1 |
1.27
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2024 | 5/6 |
2.6
|
Parliamentary Election in Salzburg 2023 | 1/1 |
2.48
|
Parliamentary Election in Kärnten 2023 | 1/2 |
1.38
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2023 | 4/5 |
3.17
|
Parliamentary Election in Tirol 2022 | 1/1 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.