Latest voting intention survey by OGM for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by OGM, the parties received the following results: FPÖ 34%, SPÖ 21%, ÖVP 19%, NEOS 13%, GRÜNE 10% and KPÖ 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 941 people during the period 18.02.2025 - 18.02.2025. The survey was commissioned by Servus TV.
941 participants
17.02.2025 - 18.02.2025
OGM
Servus TV
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
39
21.3%
GRÜNE
19
10.4%
NEOS
24
13.1%
ÖVP
36
19.7%
FPÖ
65
35.5%
FPÖ + SPÖ
FPÖ + ÖVP
SPÖ + ÖVP + NEOS
SPÖ + ÖVP + GRÜNE
82
PolitPro Score
OGM achieves a score of 82/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by OGM for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in OGM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2024 | 3/6 |
|
1.78
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2023 | 5/5 |
|
1.52
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2020 | 3/4 |
|
2.02
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2019 | 3/7 |
|
2.1
|
Parliamentary Election in Kärnten 2018 | 1/1 |
|
2.5
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2018 | 4/5 |
|
1.3
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2015 | 1/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.