Latest polls from OGM
2 months ago
5 months ago
Accuracy in elections
On average, party poll results in OGM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, OGM's average ranking is 2.6.
3x the most accurate prediction
0x the second best prediction
2x the third best prediction
1x on rank 4
1x on rank 5
Rating of parties
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.