Latest voting intention survey by Ifop for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by Ifop, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 35%, NFP 19%, Ensemble 15%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 8%, Reconquête 3%, Divers gauche 2.5%, Debout la France 1% and Divers droite 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1377 people during the period 06.02.2025 - 06.02.2025. The survey was commissioned by L’Opinion.
1377 participants
05.02.2025 - 06.02.2025
Ifop
L’Opinion
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
NFP
114
19.8%
LFI
48
8.3%
DVG
15
2.6%
EN
89
15.4%
LR
72
12.5%
RN
209
36.2%
DLF
6
1%
DVD
6
1%
REC
18
3.1%
Rassemblement national + NFP
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains + Debout la France + Divers droite
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains + Debout la France
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains + Divers droite
Rassemblement national + La France insoumise + Divers gauche + Debout la France + Divers droite
66
PolitPro Score
Ifop achieves a score of 66/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ifop pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.25
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2024 | 5/8 |
|
2.41
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2022 | 12/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.