France: Poll by OpinionWay from 24.05.2022

France: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
EN
26.0
±0.0
NFP
25.0
+2.0
RN
21.0
-2.0
UDC
11.0
+11.0
REC
5.0
±0.0
UPF
3.0
+3.0
LO
2.0
+2.0
Others
7.0
-16.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
EN
+6.0
NFP
-3.0
RN
-8.2
UDC
New
REC
+4.3
UPF
New
LO
New
OpinionWay – 2845 respondents – 19.05.2022-24.05.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates NFP lower

In 50% of election polls OpinionWay rates NFP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from OpinionWay shows the following results: Ensemble 26%, NFP 25%, Rassemblement national 21%, UDC 11%, Reconquête 5%, UPF 3% and Lutte Ouvrière 2%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Ensemble might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by OpinionWay. For this purpose, 2845 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (19.05.2022 - 24.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
13
2.3%
NFP
155
26.9%
EN
162
28.1%
UDC
68
11.8%
RN
130
22.5%
UPF
18
3.1%
REC
31
5.4%
Ensemble + NFP
54.9%
NFP + Rassemblement national + UPF
52.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
50.6%
NFP + Rassemblement national
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by OpinionWay. The survey took place between 19.05.2022 and 24.05.2022 among 2845 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 26%, NFP 25%, Rassemblement national 21%, UDC 11%, Reconquête 5%, UPF 3% and Lutte Ouvrière 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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