Latest voting intention survey by OpinionWay for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by OpinionWay, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 34%, NFP 24%, Ensemble 16%, Les Républicains 13%, Reconquête 5% and Lutte Ouvrière 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1012 people during the period 07.09.2025 - 07.09.2025.
1012 participants
06.09.2025 - 07.09.2025
OpinionWay
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
12
2.1%
NFP
147
25.5%
EN
98
17%
LR
80
13.9%
RN
209
36.2%
REC
31
5.4%
Rassemblement national + NFP
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
71
PolitPro Score
OpinionWay achieves a score of 71/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in OpinionWay pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.1
|
Parliamentary Election in France 2024 | 3/8 |
|
1.93
|
Parliamentary Election in France 2022 | 4/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.