France: Poll by ELABE from 30.06.2022

Polling data

Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
ELABE – 2000 respondents – 30.06.2022-30.06.2022
Institute often rates Reconquête lower
In 44% of election polls ELABE rates Reconquête lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

NUPES + République en marche
NUPES + Rassemblement national
République en marche + Rassemblement national

Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 27.7% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by ELABE. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 30.06.2022 2000. After this election poll would get NUPES 25%, République en marche 24.5%, Rassemblement national 22%, UDC 12.5% and Reconquête 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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