France: Poll by ELABE from 30.06.2022

Polling data

NUPES
25.0
-2.5
RE
24.5
-2.5
RN
22.0
+0.5
UDC
12.5
+12.5
REC
4.5
-0.5
Sonst.
11.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
ELABE – 2000 respondents – 30.06.2022-30.06.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Reconquête lower
In 39% of election polls ELABE rates Reconquête lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from ELABE shows the following results: NUPES 25%, Renaissance 24.5%, Rassemblement national 22%, UDC 12.5% and Reconquête 4.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. Renaissance, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jean Castex is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Renaissance and Mouvement démocrate. With 27.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ELABE. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (30.06.2022 - 30.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

NUPES + Renaissance
55.9
NUPES + Rassemblement national
53.1
Renaissance + Rassemblement national
52.6

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.fr was conducted by ELABE. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 30.06.2022 2000. After this election poll would get NUPES 25%, Renaissance 24.5%, Rassemblement national 22%, UDC 12.5% and Reconquête 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.