Latest voting intention survey by Karmasin Research & Identity for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Karmasin Research & Identity, the parties received the following results: ÖVP 39%, SPÖ 17%, GRÜNE 17%, FPÖ 15% and NEOS 9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 15.01.2020 - 15.01.2020.
1000 participants
10.01.2019 - 15.01.2020
Karmasin Research & Identity
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
32
17.5%
GRÜNE
32
17.5%
NEOS
17
9.3%
ÖVP
74
40.4%
FPÖ
28
15.3%
ÖVP + SPÖ
ÖVP + GRÜNE
ÖVP + FPÖ
ÖVP + NEOS
?
PolitPro Score
Karmasin Research & Identity achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Karmasin Research & Identity for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Karmasin Research & Identity pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
1.13
|
Parliamentary Election in Steiermark 2019 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.