Latest voting intention survey by BVA for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by BVA, the parties received the following results: Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 23%, La France insoumise 17.5%, Reconquête 9.5%, Les Républicains 8.5%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Résistons! 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1010 people during the period 07.04.2022 - 07.04.2022. The survey was commissioned by RTL & Orange.
1010 participants
06.04.2022 - 07.04.2022
BVA
RTL & Orange
EN
26.0
-1.0
RN
23.0
+2.0
LFI
17.5
+2.0
REC
9.5
±0.0
LR
8.5
-1.0
EELV
4.5
-0.5
PS
2.5
+0.5
PCF
2.5
-1.0
R!
2.5
±0.0
DLF
2.0
-0.5
NPA
1.0
±0.0
LO
0.5
-0.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
NPA
6
1%
LO
3
0.5%
LFI
101
17.5%
PCF
14
2.4%
PS
14
2.4%
EELV
26
4.5%
EN
150
26%
LR
49
8.5%
R!
14
2.4%
RN
133
23.1%
DLF
12
2.1%
REC
55
9.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
60
PolitPro Score
BVA achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in BVA pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
2.12
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2022 | 7/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.