France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by ELABE from 16.02.2022

Polling data

EN
24.0
-2.0
RN
15.0
-0.5
LR
14.0
-1.0
REC
13.5
+0.5
LFI
10.5
+0.5
EELV
5.5
+1.0
PCF
4.5
+0.5
DLF
2.0
+0.5
PS
1.5
±0.0
R!
1.5
-0.5
NPA
1.0
±0.0
UPR
1.0
+0.5
LO
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
5.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-14.6
RN
-2.3
LR
+7.0
REC
LFI
EELV
PCF
DLF
PS
R!
NPA
UPR
LO
ELABE – 1339 respondents – 14.02.2022-16.02.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from ELABE shows the following results: Ensemble 24%, Rassemblement national 15%, Les Républicains 14%, Reconquête 13.5%, La France insoumise 10.5%, Les Verts 5.5%, Parti communiste français 4.5%, Debout la France 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5%, Résistons! 1.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 25.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ELABE. For this purpose, 1339 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.02.2022 - 16.02.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
6
LO
3
LFI
64
PCF
28
PS
9
EELV
33
UPR
6
EN
147
LR
85
R!
9
RN
92
DLF
12
REC
83
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
324
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
322
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
303
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
283

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by ELABE. The survey took place between 14.02.2022 and 16.02.2022 among 1339 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 24%, Rassemblement national 15%, Les Républicains 14%, Reconquête 13.5%, La France insoumise 10.5%, Les Verts 5.5%, Parti communiste français 4.5%, Debout la France 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5%, Résistons! 1.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.