France: Poll by Cluster17 from 08.04.2022

France: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
EN
26.0
±0.0
RN
21.0
+1.0
LFI
18.0
+1.0
LR
9.5
-0.5
REC
9.5
-1.5
EELV
4.0
±0.0
DLF
3.0
±0.0
R!
3.0
±0.0
PCF
2.5
±0.0
PS
2.0
±0.0
NPA
1.0
±0.0
LO
0.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
EN
+6.0
RN
-8.2
LFI
+18.0
LR
+2.9
REC
+8.8
EELV
+4.0
DLF
+3.0
R!
+3.0
PCF
+2.5
PS
+2.0
NPA
+1.0
LO
+0.5
Cluster17 – 3091 respondents – 06.04.2022-08.04.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Ensemble lower

In 52% of election polls Cluster17 rates Ensemble lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates La France insoumise higher

In 65% of election polls, Cluster17 rates La France insoumise higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Les Verts lower

In 30% of election polls Cluster17 rates Les Verts lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Rassemblement national lower

In 68% of election polls Cluster17 rates Rassemblement national lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête higher

In 35% of election polls, Cluster17 rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 21%, La France insoumise 18%, Les Républicains 9.5%, Reconquête 9.5%, Les Verts 4%, Debout la France 3%, Résistons! 3%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, La France insoumise might gain the most in voter favorability with +18.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 35.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 3091 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (06.04.2022 - 08.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
NPA
6
1%
LO
3
0.5%
LFI
104
18%
PCF
14
2.4%
PS
12
2.1%
EELV
23
4%
EN
150
26%
LR
55
9.5%
R!
17
2.9%
RN
121
21%
DLF
17
2.9%
REC
55
9.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
65.0%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
56.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
56.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons! + Debout la France
52.9%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France + Parti communiste français
52.3%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
51.0%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Résistons! + Parti communiste français + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
50.4%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
50.4%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
50.1%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
49.9%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
49.9%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Résistons! + Debout la France
49.9%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Résistons! + Parti communiste français + Lutte Ouvrière
49.9%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Résistons! + Parti communiste français
49.4%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
49.4%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Debout la France + Parti communiste français
49.4%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 06.04.2022 and 08.04.2022 among 3091 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 21%, La France insoumise 18%, Les Républicains 9.5%, Reconquête 9.5%, Les Verts 4%, Debout la France 3%, Résistons! 3%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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