Latest voting intention survey by Kantar for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by Kantar, the parties received the following results: Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 23%, La France insoumise 16%, Reconquête 11%, Les Républicains 8%, Les Verts 5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Résistons! 3%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1394 people during the period 05.04.2022 - 05.04.2022.
1394 participants
04.04.2022 - 05.04.2022
Kantar
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
NPA
6
1%
LO
3
0.5%
LFI
92
15.9%
PCF
17
2.9%
PS
14
2.4%
EELV
29
5%
EN
144
25%
LR
46
8%
R!
17
2.9%
RN
133
23.1%
DLF
12
2.1%
REC
64
11.1%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.18
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2022 | 9/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.