Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 02.02.2021

Polling data

Grüne
34.0
-1.0
CDU
27.0
-3.0
SPD
11.0
+1.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
FDP
9.0
+2.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
+1.4
CDU
+2.9
SPD
±0.0
AfD
+0.3
FDP
-1.5
Linke
-0.6
Infratest dimap – 1000 respondents – 29.01.2021-02.02.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 34%, CDU 27%, SPD 11%, AfD 10%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 67.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (29.01.2021 - 02.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
14
Grüne
45
FDP
12
CDU
36
AfD
13
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
81
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
71
CDU + SPD + FDP
62
CDU + AfD + FDP
61
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
59

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 29.01.2021 and 02.02.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 34%, CDU 27%, SPD 11%, AfD 10%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.