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Latest election polls for Lower Saxony

PolitPro election trend

SPD
28.9%
+1.5
CDU
30.7%
+1.4
Grüne
17.3%
-0.7
FDP
5.9%
-1.4
AfD
6.6%
-2.1
Linke
5.6%
+0.7
Sonstige
5%
+0.6
Changes to the last election from 15.10.2017
SPD
-8.0
CDU
-2.9
Grüne
+8.6
FDP
-1.6
AfD
+0.4
Linke
+1.0
Political orientation
SPD
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CDU
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Grüne
nature
FDP
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AfD
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Linke
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 07.06.2020.

Latest election polls

SPD
30%
+2
CDU
32%
+2
Grüne
16%
-1
FDP
5%
-2
AfD
5%
-3
Linke
6%
+1
Sonstige
6%
+1
SPD
28%
-5
CDU
30%
-3
Grüne
17%
+7
FDP
7%
-1
AfD
8%
+2
Linke
5%
-1
Sonstige
5%
+1
SPD
26%
-8
CDU
28%
-6
Grüne
24%
+15.5
FDP
6%
-2
AfD
9%
+1
Linke
4%
-0.5
Sonstige
3%
±0
SPD
26%
-7
CDU
27%
-5
Grüne
17%
+7
FDP
10%
±0
AfD
12%
+5
Linke
5%
±0
Sonstige
3%
±0
SPD
33%
-3
CDU
33%
-2
Grüne
10%
+2
FDP
8%
+2
AfD
6%
±0
Linke
6%
+2
Sonstige
4%
-1
SPD
34.6%
+1.8
CDU
31.8%
-1.3
Grüne
8.5%
-1.4
FDP
8.9%
+0.9
AfD
7.8%
-0.3
Linke
5.7%
+0.3
Sonstige
2.7%
±0

Possible coalitions

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CDU + SPD
62.7%
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CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + AfD
57.4%
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CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
56.7%
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Ampelkoalition
54.8%
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Rot-Rot-Grün
54.5%
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CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
50.5%
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Rot-Grün
48.6%
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CDU + AfD + FDP
45.4%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

SPD
CDU
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 15.10.2017.