Polls, trends and elections for Bremen

Current Election Trend for Bremen

SPD
29.8
CDU
26.2
Grüne
11.9
Linke
10.9
BIW
9.4
FDP
5.1
Volt
2.0
Tier
1.1
PARTEI
1.0
Basis
0.8
MERA25
0.6
Sonst.
1.2
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bremen is expected to take place in 2027.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 56.4% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Bremen?

In the current election trend in Bremen, SPD leads with 29.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

CDU reaches 26.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen reaches 11.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

Die Linke reaches 10.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

Bürger in Wut reaches 9.4% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

FDP reaches 5.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

Volt (2%), Tierschutzpartei (1.1%), Die PARTEI (1%), die Basis (0.8%) and MERA25 (0.6%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

1.2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Bremen, the government from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke would secure 56.4% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: SPD, CDU, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke, Bürger in Wut and FDP reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 56.8% - 43.2% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Bremen

What is the latest poll for Bremen?

The latest poll for the election in Bremen was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: SPD 29%, CDU 25.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, Die Linke 11%, Bürger in Wut 10% and FDP 5.5%.

Coalitions

SPD + CDU
60.0
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
56.4
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Bürger in Wut
54.8
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Bürger in Wut
51.0
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
50.2
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
46.4
Show more

Which coalitions are currently possible in Bremen?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SPD and CDU, Coalition from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke, Coalition from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Bürger in Wut, Coalition from CDU, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Bürger in Wut and Coalition from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and FDP each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Bremen shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SPD
CDU
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Die Linke
Bürger in Wut
FDP
Volt
Tierschutzpartei
Die PARTEI
die Basis
MERA25
Show more

Bremen — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Bremen in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Bremen took place on 14.05.2023.

Government and parliament

Andreas Bovenschulte
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 87
Government & opposition
Government : 48
Opposition : 39
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 48
Right-leaning parties : 39

Which parties are in the parliament of Bremen?

In the parliament of Bremen, there are 87 representatives from 6 parties. 48 representatives are part of the government from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke. The opposition from CDU, Bürger in Wut and FDP has 39 representatives.

48 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 39 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Bremen?

Andreas Bovenschulte governs in Bremen with a coalition of SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke.

State election in Bremen 2027

The State election in Bremen 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Andreas Bovenschulte is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and SPD. In the last State election in Bremen in 2023, SPD (29.8% - 27 seats), CDU (26.2% - 24 seats), Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (11.9% - 11 seats), Die Linke (10.9% - 10 seats), Bürger in Wut (9.4% - 10 seats) and FDP (5.1% - 5 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 56.8%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Bremen?

The next election in Bremen is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Bremen?

The head of state of Bremen is Andreas Bovenschulte.

Who governs in Bremen?

Andreas Bovenschulte governs in Bremen with a coalition of SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke.

What is the latest poll for Bremen?

The latest poll for the election in Bremen was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: SPD 29%, CDU 25.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, Die Linke 11%, Bürger in Wut 10% and FDP 5.5%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Bremen?

In the parliament of Bremen, there are 87 representatives from 6 parties. 48 representatives are part of the government from SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and Die Linke. The opposition from CDU, Bürger in Wut and FDP has 39 representatives.