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Latest election polls for Bavaria

PolitPro election trend

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CSU
42%
-5
Grüne
19.6%
+1.5
FW
8.7%
+0.7
AfD
8.4%
+0.7
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
5.4%
+1.4
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
±0
Sonstige
3.9%
+0.7
Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
CSU
+4.8
Grüne
+2.0
FW
-2.9
AfD
-1.8
SPD
-1.7
FDP
+0.3
Linke
-0.2
BP
-0.7
Political orientation
CSU
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Grüne
nature
FW
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AfD
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SPD
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FDP
zoom_out_map
Linke
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BP
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 04.04.2021.

Latest election polls

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Bayern
CSU
40%
-7
Grüne
20%
+2
FW
9%
+1
AfD
9%
+1
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
6%
+2
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
±0
Sonstige
4%
+1
2 weeks ago
GMS
Bayern
CSU
47%
-1
Grüne
18%
±0
FW
8%
+1
AfD
8%
+2
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
Linke
3%
+1
BP
1%
-1
Sonstige
3%
-2
2 months ago
GMS
Bayern
CSU
46%
-1
Grüne
18%
±0
FW
8%
+1
AfD
7%
±0
SPD
9%
-1
FDP
5%
+2
Linke
3%
±0
Sonstige
4%
-1
2 months ago
INSA
Bayern
CSU
48%
+3
Grüne
19%
-2
FW
8%
+1
AfD
7%
-1
SPD
7%
-1
FDP
3%
±0
Linke
3%
±0
Sonstige
5%
±0
3 months ago
Infratest dimap
Bayern
CSU
48%
+2
Grüne
18%
±0
FW
7%
+1
AfD
6%
-2
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
Linke
2%
-1
BP
2%
+1
Sonstige
5%
-1
3 months ago
GMS
Bayern
CSU
46%
±0
Grüne
18%
-1
FW
6%
-1
AfD
8%
±0
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
+1
Sonstige
6%
+1
5 months ago
GMS

Possible coalitions

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CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
66.9%
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CSU + Freie Wähler
55.0%
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CSU + AfD
54.7%
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CSU + SPD
54.3%
check_circle
CSU + FDP
51.5%
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Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler + AfD + FDP
45.7%
cancel
CSU
45.6%
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Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler + SPD + FDP
45.3%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

CSU
Grüne
FW
AfD
SPD
FDP
Linke
BP

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 14.10.2018.