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Latest election polls for Bavaria

PolitPro election trend

CSU
38.8%
+0.2
Grüne
20.4%
-0.3
FW
9.3%
-0.2
AfD
8.2%
-0.2
SPD
9%
±0
FDP
7.2%
±0
Linke
2.9%
±0
Sonst.
4.2%
+0.5
Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
CSU
+1.6
Grüne
+2.8
FW
-2.3
AfD
-2.0
SPD
-0.7
FDP
+2.1
Linke
-0.3
Political orientation
CSU
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Grüne
nature
FW
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AfD
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SPD
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FDP
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Linke
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 01.08.2021.

Latest election polls

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CSU
39%
-1
Grüne
20%
±0
FW
9%
±0
AfD
8%
-1
SPD
9%
+1
FDP
7%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
±0
Sonst.
4%
±0
CSU
37%
+1
Grüne
21%
-3
FW
10%
+1
AfD
8%
-1
SPD
10%
+1
FDP
8%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
Sonst.
3%
±0
CSU
45.9%
+1.8
Grüne
18.2%
-1.4
FW
8.3%
+0.2
AfD
9%
+0.4
SPD
7.1%
-2.2
FDP
5.9%
+2.8
Linke
2%
-1.2
Sonst.
3.6%
-0.4
CSU
38%
±0
Grüne
22%
-1
FW
9%
-3
AfD
9%
+1
SPD
7%
+1
FDP
6%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
Sonst.
6%
+1
CSU
36%
-10
Grüne
24%
+6
FW
9%
+1
AfD
9%
+2
SPD
9%
±0
FDP
7%
+2
Linke
3%
±0
Sonst.
3%
-1
CSU
40%
-7
Grüne
20%
+2
FW
9%
+1
AfD
9%
+1
SPD
8%
±0
FDP
6%
+2
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
±0
Sonst.
4%
+1

Possible coalitions

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Koalition der Mitte
81.3%
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Kenia-Koalition
73.5%
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Jamaika-Koalition
71.6%
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Schwarz-Grün
63.8%
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CSU + Freie Wähler + SPD
61.5%
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CSU + Freie Wähler + AfD
60.6%
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CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP
59.6%
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Deutschland-Koalition
59.3%
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Liberale Rechts-Koalition
58.4%
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Schwarz-Orange
51.8%
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Große Koalition
51.5%
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Rechts-Koalition
50.6%
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Schwarz-Gelb
49.6%
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Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler + SPD + FDP
49.5%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

CSU
Grüne
FW
AfD
SPD
FDP
Linke
BP

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 14.10.2018.