PolitPro Election trend
Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
If this Sunday were a general election in Bavaria, the parties would receive the following results: CSU 40.3%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19.2%, AfD 9.8%, Freie Wähler 9.3%, SPD 7.6%, FDP 6.8%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%.
28.8% of the votes went to parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left), 67.2% to parties with a more right-wing orientation (center-right, right, far-right).
The current government of Dr. Markus Söder would achieve 53.3% of seats and could continue to govern.
Latest election polls
Possible coalitions
Koalition der Mitte
Kenia-Koalition
Jamaika-Koalition
Schwarz-Grün
CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler
CSU + Freie Wähler + SPD
Liberale Rechts-Koalition
CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP
Deutschland-Koalition
Rechts-Koalition
Schwarz-Orange
Große Koalition
Schwarz-Gelb
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler + SPD + FDP
Development of the electoral trend
Things to know about the election trend
This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
The election trend takes into account the last polls of all institutes with election polls in the past 100 days. At least 3375 persons participated in these polls.