Bavaria
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Elections
Statistics

Bavaria: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

CSU
40.0
Grüne
19.3
SPD
10.0
FW
8.9
AfD
7.7
FDP
5.4
Linke
1.9
BP
1.0
Sonst.
5.8
Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
CSU
+2.8
Grüne
+1.7
SPD
+0.3
FW
-2.7
AfD
-2.5
FDP
+0.3
Linke
-1.3
BP
-0.7
Political orientation
CSU
Grüne
SPD
FW
AfD
FDP
Linke
BP

Possible coalitions

Koalition der Mitte
81.8
Kenia-Koalition
75.9
Jamaika-Koalition
70.8
Schwarz-Grün
64.9
CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler
64.5
CSU + Freie Wähler + AfD
61.9
Deutschland-Koalition
60.7
CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP
59.4
Liberale Rechts-Koalition
58.1
Große Koalition
54.8
Schwarz-Orange
53.5
Rechts-Koalition
52.2
Schwarz-Gelb
49.7
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Freie Wähler + FDP
47.7

Development of the electoral trend

CSU Grüne FW AfD SPD FDP Linke BP Sonst.

Latest election polls

GMS
6 days ago
CSU
40
Grüne
20
FW
9
AfD
8
SPD
9
FDP
5
Linke
2
BP
1
Sonst.
6
Forsa
2 weeks ago
CSU
40
Grüne
20
FW
10
AfD
7
SPD
9
FDP
6
Linke
1
Sonst.
7
Forsa
1 month ago
CSU
39
Grüne
20
FW
11
AfD
6
SPD
10
FDP
5
Linke
2
Sonst.
7
Wahlkreisprognose
1 month ago
CSU
40
Grüne
15
FW
7
AfD
7
SPD
16
FDP
7
Linke
2
Sonst.
6
GMS
2 months ago
CSU
38
Grüne
16
FW
8
AfD
9
SPD
13
FDP
7
Linke
3
BP
1
Sonst.
5
GMS
3 months ago
CSU
37
Grüne
15
FW
8
AfD
9
SPD
13
FDP
8
Linke
4
BP
2
Sonst.
4

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.