Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the State election in Bavaria, CSU is leading with 43%, followed by AfD with 13%, Freie Wähler with 12%, Grüne with 11%, SPD with 8%, BSW with 4% and FDP with 2%. Other parties reach 7%.
On the rise: CSU
+1.8 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: FW
-2.8 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2028.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 63.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPD reaches 16 MPs, Grüne reaches 22 MPs, CSU reaches 90 MPs, Freie Wähler reaches 25 MPs and AfD reaches 27 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 5%.
Majority from 91 MPs
To form a government, 91 of 180 MPs are required.
CSU + AfD
CSU + Freie Wähler
CSU + Grüne
CSU + SPD
CSU
180
SPD
16
Grüne
22
CSU
90
FW
25
AfD
27
Majority requires 91 seats
On the rise: CSU
+1.8 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: FW
-2.8 loss in the last 3 months
Bavaria — National parliament voting intention
The State election in Bavaria 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Markus Söder is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of CSU and Freie Wähler. In the last State election in Bavaria in 2023, CSU (37% - 85 seats), Freie Wähler (15.8% - 37 seats), AfD (14.6% - 32 seats), Grüne (14.4% - 32 seats) and SPD (8.4% - 17 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 73.3%.
Markus Söder
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 203
Government & opposition
Government
: 122
Opposition
: 81
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 49
Right-leaning parties
: 154
FAQ
When is the next election in Bavaria?
The next election in Bavaria is expected to take place in the year 2028.
Who is the president of Bavaria?
The head of state of Bavaria is Markus Söder.
Who governs in Bavaria?
Markus Söder governs in Bavaria with a coalition of CSU and Freie Wähler.
What is the latest poll for Bavaria?
The latest poll for the election in Bavaria was published by Forsa. The parties achieve the following values: CSU 43%, AfD 13%, Freie Wähler 12%, Grüne 11%, SPD 8%, BSW 4% and FDP 2%.
Which parties are in the parliament of Bavaria?
In the parliament of Bavaria, there are 203 representatives from 5 parties. 122 representatives are part of the government from CSU and Freie Wähler. The opposition from AfD, Grüne and SPD has 81 representatives.