Baden-Wuerttemberg
Bavaria
Berlin
Brandenburg
Bremen
Hamburg
Hessen
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Lower Saxony
North Rhine-Westphalia
Rhineland-Palatinate
Saarland
Saxony
Saxony-Anhalt
Schleswig-Holstein
ThuringiaLatest election polls for Bavaria
PolitPro Election trend
CSU
33.5
-2.6
Grüne
16.2
-2.8
FW
8.5
-1.5
AfD
8.7
-2.9
SPD
17.0
+7.1
FDP
9.8
+3.0
Linke
2.3
-0.6
BP
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
+0.3
Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
CSU
-3.7
Grüne
-1.4
FW
-3.1
AfD
-1.5
SPD
+7.3
FDP
+4.7
Linke
-0.9
BP
-0.7
Political orientation
CSU
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Grüne
nature
FW
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AfD
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SPD
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FDP
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Linke
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BP
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This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
latest election polls
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INSA
1 week ago
CSU
32%
-5
Grüne
15%
-6
FW
8%
-2
AfD
8%
±0
SPD
20%
+10
FDP
11%
+3
Linke
2%
-1
Sonst.
4%
+1
Civey
2 months ago
CSU
35.4%
-10.5
Grüne
18.4%
+0.2
FW
10.2%
+1.9
AfD
13.1%
+4.1
SPD
10.1%
+3
FDP
6.5%
+0.6
Linke
2.8%
+0.8
Sonst.
3.5%
-0.1
GMS
2 months ago
CSU
39%
-1
Grüne
20%
±0
FW
9%
±0
AfD
8%
-1
SPD
9%
+1
FDP
7%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
BP
1%
±0
Sonst.
4%
±0
INSA
3 months ago
CSU
37%
+1
Grüne
21%
-3
FW
10%
+1
AfD
8%
-1
SPD
10%
+1
FDP
8%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
Sonst.
3%
±0
Civey
4 months ago
CSU
45.9%
+1.8
Grüne
18.2%
-1.4
FW
8.3%
+0.2
AfD
9%
+0.4
SPD
7.1%
-2.2
FDP
5.9%
+2.8
Linke
2%
-1.2
Sonst.
3.6%
-0.4
Forsa
5 months ago
CSU
38%
±0
Grüne
22%
-1
FW
9%
-3
AfD
9%
+1
SPD
7%
+1
FDP
6%
+1
Linke
3%
±0
Sonst.
6%
+1
Possible coalitions
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Koalition der Mitte
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Kenia-Koalition
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Deutschland-Koalition
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Jamaika-Koalition
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CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler
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CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler
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Liberale Rechts-Koalition
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CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler
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SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + Freie Wähler
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CSU + Freie Wähler + AfD
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Große Koalition
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Schwarz-Grün
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Schwarz-Gelb
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Ampelkoalition
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Rechts-Koalition
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How are the coalitions calculated?
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The overview shows the currently most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter parliament are taken into account. The threshold for this is 5%.
The percentages shown refer to the percentage number of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.
Development of the electoral trend
CSU
Grüne
FW
AfD
SPD
FDP
Linke
BP
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More info on the development
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The last election took place on 14.10.2018. The Corona crisis, with a large number of political actions, began in March 2020.