Current Election Trend for Bavaria

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Bavaria, CSU is leading with 39%, followed by AfD with 18%, Grüne with 12%, Freie Wähler with 10%, SPD with 8%, BSW with 4%, FDP with 2% and Die Linke with 2%. Other parties reach 5%.

On the rise: AfD

+5.0 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: CSU

-4.8 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2028.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 56.7% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
CSU
39.0
AfD
18.0
Grüne
12.0
FW
10.0
SPD
8.0
BSW
4.0
FDP
2.0
Linke
2.0
Others
5.0

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPD reaches 16 MPs, Grüne reaches 25 MPs, CSU reaches 81 MPs, Freie Wähler reaches 21 MPs and AfD reaches 37 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 5%.

Majority from 91 MPs

To form a government, 91 of 180 MPs are required.
CSU + AfD
65.6%
CSU + Grüne
58.9%
CSU + Freie Wähler
56.7%
CSU + SPD
53.9%
CSU
45.0%
180
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD
16
8.9%
Grüne
25
13.9%
CSU
81
45%
FW
21
11.7%
AfD
37
20.6%

Latest polls for Bavaria

Civey
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
INSA
· 6 months ago
6 months ago
Open Details

Bavaria — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Bavaria

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CSU
AfD
Grüne
Freie Wähler
SPD
BSW
Die Linke
FDP
Show more

Government and parliament

Markus Söder

Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 203
Government & opposition
Government : 122
Opposition : 81
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 49
Right-leaning parties : 154