Latest election trend
Various institutes regularly conduct election polls to determine the current political mood in Bavaria. In order to make poll values comparable, the PolitPro election trend calculates a weighted average value of current election polls.
In the current PolitPro election trend for State election in Bavaria, the parties score as follows: CSU 36.6%, Freie Wähler 15.7%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14.9%, AfD 13.7%, SPD 8.9%, FDP 3.7% and Die Linke 1.5%. If this week were an election in Bavaria, Freie Wähler might make the biggest gains in voter favorability, with +4.1 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes to the last election result (-2.7).
The election trend takes into account the latest election polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF-Politbarometer, Infratest dimap for Bayerischer Rundfunk, Civey for Augsburger Allgemeine, Institut Wahlkreisprognose, GMS for SAT.1 Bayern, INSA for BILD and Forsa. The most recent polls from institutes with polls in the past 100 days were considered in each case. A total of at least 11773 people participated in the election polls.
Important: Election polls are not election forecasts, but represent the current political mood in the respective survey period.
Latest election polls
Election trend development
State election in Bavaria 2023
The State election in Bavaria 2023 will take place on 08.10.2023. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Markus Söder is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of CSU and Freie Wähler. In the last State election in Bavaria in 2018 CSU (37.2% - 85 seats), Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (17.6% - 38 seats), Freie Wähler (11.6% - 27 seats), AfD (10.2% - 22 seats), SPD (9.7% - 22 seats) and FDP (5.1% - 11 seats) entered parliament. The turnout at that time was 72.3%.