Bavaria: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

CSU
40.3
Grüne
19.2
AfD
9.8
FW
9.3
SPD
7.6
FDP
6.8
Linke
2.0
BP
1.0
Sonst.
4.0
If this Sunday were a general election in Bavaria, the parties would receive the following results: CSU 40.3%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19.2%, AfD 9.8%, Freie Wähler 9.3%, SPD 7.6%, FDP 6.8%, Die Linke 2% and Bayernpartei 1%.
28.8% of the votes went to parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left), 67.2% to parties with a more right-wing orientation (center-right, right, far-right).
The current government of Dr. Markus Söder would achieve 53.3% of seats and could continue to govern.

Latest election polls

Possible coalitions

Koalition der Mitte
Kenia-Koalition
72.1
Jamaika-Koalition
71.2
Schwarz-Grün
63.9
CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler
63.8
CSU + Freie Wähler + SPD
61.5
Liberale Rechts-Koalition
61.1
CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP
60.6
Deutschland-Koalition
58.8
Rechts-Koalition
53.8
Schwarz-Orange
53.3
Große Koalition
51.5
Schwarz-Gelb
50.6
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Freie Wähler + SPD + FDP

Development of the electoral trend

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
The election trend takes into account the last polls of all institutes with election polls in the past 100 days. At least 3375 persons participated in these polls.
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. More info