Current government without a parliamentary majority
In the current poll trend, the governing parties in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania secure 40.8% of the seats.
Change since the September 26, 2021 election
Political Alignment of Parties
What do the symbols mean?
What do the symbols mean?
These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.
Far-Left
Left
Centre-Left
Centre
Big-tent party
Unknown
Centre-Right
Right
Far-Right
Liberal
Green
Regional
Animal Welfare
Satire
Gaining Momentum: Grüne
+0.8 gain over the past 90 days
Losing Ground: FDP
-3.0 decline over the past 90 days
Next General Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: September 20, 2026
The next General Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania takes place in 135 days.
Who is leading in the PolitPro Poll Trend for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania?
Who is leading in the PolitPro Poll Trend for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania?
The frontrunner in the current PolitPro Poll Trend for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania election is AfD with 34.6%. This is followed by SPD: 25.4%, CDU: 12.2%, Die Linke: 10.2%, BSW: 5%, Grüne: 4.8% and FDP: 2.8%. Other parties secure 5% of the votes.
Would the incumbent government in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania currently retain a majority?
Would the incumbent government in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania currently retain a majority?
The incumbent coalition in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania currently secures only 40.8% of the seats and would thus lose its parliamentary majority. This signals a significant shift in political power dynamics: A coalition of SPD and Die Linke would, as it stands, be unable to continue its governmental work.
Data Analysis: How we calculate the PolitPro Poll Trend
Data Analysis: How we calculate the PolitPro Poll Trend
The PolitPro Poll Trend is more than just a snapshot. We aggregate data from all relevant polling institutes into a weighted average for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania election. Since the classic hypothetical election question ('Who would you vote for if an election were held next Sunday?') inherently fluctuates due to methodology, our poll trend provides a statistically robust data basis. It smooths out short-term outliers and reveals the real political dynamics over time.
By combining multiple data sources, we minimize the risk of random effects. Each survey is subject to a statistical margin of error (usually between 1.5% and 3%). Our poll check for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania precisely indicates whether a party's gain represents a sustainable development or merely falls within the statistical uncertainty of a single institute.
The calculation follows a transparent mathematical model: Current polls receive a higher weighting than older data. Furthermore, the historical predictive accuracy of the institutes is incorporated into the calculation to compensate for methodological biases. The result is a valid trend line that accurately reflects the party system of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.