Polls, trends and elections for Saarland

Current Election Trend for Saarland

SPD
35.0
CDU
23.0
AfD
23.0
FDP
5.0
Grüne
4.5
Linke
1.0
Sonst.
8.5
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Saarland is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Saarland?

In the current election trend in Saarland, SPD leads with 35%. This is a significant loss of -8.5 percentage points since the last election.

CDU reaches 23%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-5.5).

AfD reaches 23%. This is a significant increase of +17.3 percentage points since the last election.

FDP reaches 5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.2 percentage points).

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (4.5%) and Die Linke (1%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

8.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Saarland, the government from SPD would secure 40.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: SPD, CDU, AfD and FDP reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 61.4% - 38.6% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Saarland

What is the latest poll for Saarland?

The latest poll for the election in Saarland was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: SPD 35%, CDU 23%, AfD 23%, FDP 5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5% and Die Linke 1%.

Coalitions

SPD + CDU
67.4
AfD + CDU
53.4
SPD
40.7

Which coalitions are currently possible in Saarland?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SPD and CDU and Coalition from AfD and CDU each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Saarland shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SPD
AfD
CDU
FDP
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Die Linke
Show more

Saarland — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Saarland in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Saarland took place on 27.03.2022.

Government and parliament

Anke Rehlinger
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 51
Government & opposition
Government : 29
Opposition : 22
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 29
Right-leaning parties : 22

Which parties are in the parliament of Saarland?

In the parliament of Saarland, there are 51 representatives from 3 parties. 29 representatives are part of the government from SPD. The opposition from CDU and AfD has 22 representatives.

29 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 22 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Saarland?

Anke Rehlinger governs in Saarland with a coalition of SPD.

State election in Saarland 2027

The State election in Saarland 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Anke Rehlinger is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of SPD. In the last State election in Saarland in 2022, SPD (43.5% - 29 seats), CDU (28.5% - 19 seats) and AfD (5.7% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 61.4%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Saarland?

The next election in Saarland is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Saarland?

The head of state of Saarland is Anke Rehlinger.

Who governs in Saarland?

Anke Rehlinger governs in Saarland with a coalition of SPD.

What is the latest poll for Saarland?

The latest poll for the election in Saarland was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: SPD 35%, CDU 23%, AfD 23%, FDP 5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5% and Die Linke 1%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Saarland?

In the parliament of Saarland, there are 51 representatives from 3 parties. 29 representatives are part of the government from SPD. The opposition from CDU and AfD has 22 representatives.