Current Election Trend for Saarland
Who is leading in the election trend in Saarland?
In the current election trend in Saarland, SPD leads with 35%. This is a significant loss of -8.5 percentage points since the last election.
CDU reaches 23%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-5.5).
AfD reaches 23%. This is a significant increase of +17.3 percentage points since the last election.
FDP reaches 5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.2 percentage points).
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (4.5%) and Die Linke (1%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.
8.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: SPD, CDU, AfD and FDP reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Latest polls for Saarland
What is the latest poll for Saarland?
Which coalitions are currently possible in Saarland?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Saarland shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
Saarland — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Saarland?
In the parliament of Saarland, there are 51 representatives from 3 parties. 29 representatives are part of the government from SPD. The opposition from CDU and AfD has 22 representatives.
29 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 22 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Saarland?
State election in Saarland 2027
The State election in Saarland 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Anke Rehlinger is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of SPD. In the last State election in Saarland in 2022, SPD (43.5% - 29 seats), CDU (28.5% - 19 seats) and AfD (5.7% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 61.4%.