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Polls, trends and elections for Berlin

Current Election Trend for Berlin

CDU
27.0
Grüne
20.0
SPD
15.0
AfD
12.0
Linke
10.0
BSW
6.0
FDP
3.0
Sonst.
7.0
On the rise: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
+3.0 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: CDU
-2.0 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 46.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Berlin?

In the current election trend in Berlin, CDU leads with 27%. This is a loss of -1.2 percentage points since the last election.

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lands at 20% and gains +1.6 percentage points since the last election.

SPD experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 15% (-3.4).

AfD lands at 12% and gains +2.9 percentage points since the last election.

Die Linke experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 10% (-2.2).

BSW reaches 6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

FDP (3%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

7% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Infratest dimap for RBB / Berliner Morgenpost, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 1174 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Berlin, the government from CDU and SPD would secure 46.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: CDU, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, SPD, AfD, Die Linke and BSW reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 63% - 37% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Berlin

What is the latest poll for Berlin?

The latest poll for the election in Berlin was published by Infratest dimap. The parties achieve the following values: CDU 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 15%, AfD 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 6% and FDP 3%.

Coalitions

130
Linke
14
SPD
22
Grüne
29
BSW
9
CDU
39
AfD
17
Majority requires 66 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke + BSW
CDU + SPD + BSW
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
68
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
CDU + AfD + BSW
CDU + SPD
61

Which coalitions are currently possible in Berlin?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, SPD, Die Linke and BSW, Coalition from CDU, SPD and BSW, Coalition from CDU and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Coalition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, SPD and Die Linke and Coalition from CDU, AfD and BSW each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Berlin shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
+3.0 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: CDU
-2.0 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
SPD
AfD
Die Linke
BSW
FDP
Show more

Berlin — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Berlin in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Berlin took place on 12.02.2023.

Government and parliament

Franziska Giffey
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 159
Government & opposition
Government : 86
Opposition : 73
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 90
Right-leaning parties : 69

Which parties are in the parliament of Berlin?

In the parliament of Berlin, there are 159 representatives from 5 parties. 86 representatives are part of the government from CDU and SPD. The opposition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and AfD has 73 representatives.

90 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 69 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Berlin?

Franziska Giffey governs in Berlin with a coalition of CDU and SPD.

State election in Berlin 2028

The State election in Berlin 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Franziska Giffey is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of CDU and SPD. In the last State election in Berlin in 2023, CDU (28.2% - 52 seats), Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (18.4% - 34 seats), SPD (18.4% - 34 seats), Die Linke (12.2% - 22 seats) and AfD (9.1% - 17 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 63%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Berlin?

The next election in Berlin is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who is the president of Berlin?

The head of state of Berlin is Franziska Giffey.

Who governs in Berlin?

Franziska Giffey governs in Berlin with a coalition of CDU and SPD.

What is the latest poll for Berlin?

The latest poll for the election in Berlin was published by Infratest dimap. The parties achieve the following values: CDU 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 15%, AfD 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 6% and FDP 3%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Berlin?

In the parliament of Berlin, there are 159 representatives from 5 parties. 86 representatives are part of the government from CDU and SPD. The opposition from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, Die Linke and AfD has 73 representatives.