Current Election Trend for Hamburg

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg, SPD is leading with 31%, followed by Grüne with 21.6%, CDU with 17.6%, AfD with 9%, Die Linke with 5.3%, FDP with 4%, BSW with 4% and Volt with 3%. Other parties reach 4.5%.

On the rise: Grüne

+1.3 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: Linke

-1.3 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 02.03.2025

The next general election in Hamburg will be held in 43.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 62.0% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
SPD
31.0
Grüne
21.6
CDU
17.6
AfD
9.0
Linke
5.3
FDP
4.0
BSW
4.0
Volt
3.0
Others
4.5

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 8 MPs, SPD reaches 44 MPs, Grüne reaches 31 MPs, CDU reaches 25 MPs and AfD reaches 13 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 5%.

Majority from 61 MPs

To form a government, 61 of 121 MPs are required.
SPD + Grüne
62.0%
SPD + CDU
57.0%
Grüne + CDU
46.3%
121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
8
6.6%
SPD
44
36.4%
Grüne
31
25.6%
CDU
25
20.7%
AfD
13
10.7%

Latest polls for Hamburg

Hamburg — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Hamburg

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SPD
Grüne
CDU
AfD
Die Linke
FDP
BSW
Volt
Show more

Parliamentary Election in Hamburg 2025

General Information: Election Day, Eligible Voters & Electorate

The next election for the Hamburg Parliament (Bürgerschaftswahl) will take place on March 2, 2025. Eligible voters include all Germans aged 16 or older who have been residents of Hamburg for at least three months. Approximately 1.3 million people in Hamburg are eligible to vote. Voters unable to attend on election day can use postal voting.

Electoral Threshold & Seats

Hamburg enforces a five-percent threshold: parties receiving less than 5% of the vote do not gain seats in the parliament. The 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament are allocated proportionally using the Sainte-Laguë method. Overhang seats are possible if a party wins more direct seats than their proportional share entitles them to.

Electoral System

Hamburg’s electoral system is a mix of proportional representation and personalized voting. Voters receive ten votes in total: five for state lists and five for district candidates. These votes can be distributed among different parties and candidates, giving voters more flexibility in choosing their representatives.

Top Candidates

The candidates for the 2025 election have not yet been confirmed, but it is expected that familiar faces from the major parties will run again.

Current Government

Hamburg is currently governed by a coalition of the SPD and the Greens. The SPD has held the position of First Mayor, with Peter Tschentscher in office, while Katharina Fegebank from the Greens serves as the Second Mayor. This coalition has been in power since 2020 and holds the majority in the parliament.

Last Election

In the last Hamburg election on February 23, 2020, the SPD won 39.2% of the vote, followed by the Greens with 24.2%. The CDU achieved its worst result in Hamburg with 11.2%. Both the Left Party and the AfD secured seats, while the FDP narrowly missed the five-percent threshold.

Government and parliament

Peter Tschentscher

Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 121
Government & opposition
Government : 87
Opposition : 36
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 100
Right-leaning parties : 23

FAQ

When is the next election in Hamburg?

The next election in Hamburg is on 02.03.2025.

Who is the president of Hamburg?

The head of state of Hamburg is Peter Tschentscher.

Who governs in Hamburg?

Peter Tschentscher governs in Hamburg with a coalition of Grüne and SPD.

What is the latest poll for Hamburg?

The latest poll for the election in Hamburg was published by Infratest dimap. The parties achieve the following values: SPD 31%, Grüne 22%, CDU 17%, AfD 9%, Die Linke 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%.