Polls, trends and elections for Saxony-Anhalt

Current Election Trend for Saxony-Anhalt

CDU
28.5
AfD
27.5
BSW
23.0
SPD
4.5
Grüne
4.5
FDP
4.0
Linke
3.5
Sonst.
4.5
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Saxony-Anhalt is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 36.1% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Saxony-Anhalt?

In the current election trend in Saxony-Anhalt, CDU leads with 28.5%. This is a significant loss of -8.6 percentage points since the last election.

AfD reaches 27.5%. This is a significant increase of +6.7 percentage points since the last election.

BSW reaches 23%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

SPD (4.5%), Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (4.5%), FDP (4%) and Die Linke (3.5%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

4.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Institut Wahlkreisprognose, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 1000 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Saxony-Anhalt, the government from CDU, SPD and FDP would secure 36.1% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 3 parties could enter parliament: CDU, AfD and BSW reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 60.3% - 39.7% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Saxony-Anhalt

INSA
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
INSA
· 8 months ago
8 months ago
Open Details

What is the latest poll for Saxony-Anhalt?

The latest poll for the election in Saxony-Anhalt was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: CDU 28.5%, AfD 27.5%, BSW 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5%, SPD 4.5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3.5%.

Coalitions

83
BSW
24
CDU
30
AfD
29
Majority requires 42 seats
CDU + AfD
59
CDU + BSW
54
AfD + BSW
53

Which coalitions are currently possible in Saxony-Anhalt?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from CDU and AfD, Coalition from CDU and BSW and Coalition from AfD and BSW each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Saxony-Anhalt shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU
AfD
BSW
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
SPD
FDP
Die Linke
Show more

Saxony-Anhalt — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Saxony-Anhalt in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Saxony-Anhalt took place on 06.06.2021.

Government and parliament

Reiner Haseloff
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 97
Government & opposition
Government : 56
Opposition : 41
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 27
Right-leaning parties : 70

Which parties are in the parliament of Saxony-Anhalt?

In the parliament of Saxony-Anhalt, there are 97 representatives from 6 parties. 56 representatives are part of the government from CDU, SPD and FDP. The opposition from AfD, Die Linke and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen has 41 representatives.

27 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 70 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Saxony-Anhalt?

Reiner Haseloff governs in Saxony-Anhalt with a coalition of CDU, SPD and FDP.

State election in Sachsen-Anhalt 2026

The State election in Sachsen-Anhalt 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Reiner Haseloff is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of CDU, FDP and SPD. In the last State election in Sachsen-Anhalt in 2021, CDU (37.1% - 40 seats), AfD (20.8% - 23 seats), Die Linke (11% - 12 seats), SPD (8.4% - 9 seats), FDP (6.4% - 7 seats) and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (5.9% - 6 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 60.3%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Saxony-Anhalt?

The next election in Saxony-Anhalt is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who is the president of Saxony-Anhalt?

The head of state of Saxony-Anhalt is Reiner Haseloff.

Who governs in Saxony-Anhalt?

Reiner Haseloff governs in Saxony-Anhalt with a coalition of CDU, SPD and FDP.

What is the latest poll for Saxony-Anhalt?

The latest poll for the election in Saxony-Anhalt was published by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The parties achieve the following values: CDU 28.5%, AfD 27.5%, BSW 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5%, SPD 4.5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3.5%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Saxony-Anhalt?

In the parliament of Saxony-Anhalt, there are 97 representatives from 6 parties. 56 representatives are part of the government from CDU, SPD and FDP. The opposition from AfD, Die Linke and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen has 41 representatives.