Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by INSA from 11.02.2021

Polling data

Grüne
31.0
+1.0
CDU
28.0
-2.0
AfD
11.0
-1.0
SPD
11.0
-1.0
FDP
10.0
+2.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FW
1.0
+1.0
Sonst.
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-1.6
CDU
+3.9
AfD
+1.3
SPD
±0.0
FDP
-0.5
Linke
+0.4
FW
-2.0
INSA – 1009 respondents – 08.02.2021-11.02.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from INSA shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 31%, CDU 28%, AfD 11%, SPD 11%, FDP 10%, Die Linke 4% and Freie Wähler 1%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. Freie Wähler, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 64.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (08.02.2021 - 11.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
14
Grüne
41
FDP
13
CDU
37
AfD
15
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
78
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
68
CDU + AfD + FDP
65
CDU + SPD + FDP
64
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 08.02.2021 and 11.02.2021 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 31%, CDU 28%, AfD 11%, SPD 11%, FDP 10%, Die Linke 4% and Freie Wähler 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.