Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 11.03.2021

Polling data

Grüne
34.0
-1.0
CDU
24.0
±0.0
AfD
11.0
±0.0
FDP
11.0
+1.0
SPD
10.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
+1.4
CDU
-0.1
AfD
+1.3
FDP
+0.5
SPD
-1.0
Linke
-0.6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1867 respondents – 08.03.2021-11.03.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: Grüne 34%, CDU 24%, AfD 11%, FDP 11%, SPD 10% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 64.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1867 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (08.03.2021 - 11.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
13
10.8%
Grüne
45
37.5%
FDP
15
12.5%
CDU
32
26.7%
AfD
15
12.5%
Grüne + CDU
64.2%
Grüne + FDP + SPD
60.8%
CDU + AfD + FDP
51.7%
Grüne + FDP
50.0%
CDU + FDP + SPD
50.0%
Grüne + SPD
48.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 08.03.2021 and 11.03.2021 among 1867 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Grüne 34%, CDU 24%, AfD 11%, FDP 11%, SPD 10% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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