Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 16.03.2022

Polling data

Grüne
27.0
±0.0
CDU
25.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
FDP
14.0
±0.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-5.6
CDU
+0.9
SPD
+5.0
FDP
+3.5
AfD
-0.7
Linke
-1.6
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1600 respondents – 08.03.2022-16.03.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27%, CDU 25%, SPD 16%, FDP 14%, AfD 9% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 57.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1600 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (08.03.2022 - 16.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
21
Grüne
36
FDP
18
CDU
33
AfD
12
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
75
CDU + SPD + FDP
72
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
69
CDU + FDP + AfD
63
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
57
CDU + SPD
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 08.03.2022 and 16.03.2022 among 1600 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27%, CDU 25%, SPD 16%, FDP 14%, AfD 9% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.