Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 15.08.2022

Polling data

Grüne
30.5
±0.0
CDU
24.0
+3.5
SPD
13.0
-1.0
AfD
12.0
+1.0
FDP
10.0
-3.0
Linke
2.5
-1.5
Sonst.
8.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-2.1
CDU
-0.1
SPD
+2.0
AfD
+2.3
FDP
-0.5
Linke
-1.1
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1300 respondents – 08.08.2022-15.08.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 30.5%, CDU 24%, SPD 13%, AfD 12%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 2.5%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 60.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (08.08.2022 - 15.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
17
Grüne
41
FDP
14
CDU
32
AfD
16
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
73
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
72
CDU + SPD + FDP
63
CDU + AfD + FDP
62
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
58

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 08.08.2022 and 15.08.2022 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 30.5%, CDU 24%, SPD 13%, AfD 12%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.