Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 27.10.2023

Polling data

CDU
30.0
-2.0
AfD
22.0
+9.0
Grüne
20.0
-8.0
SPD
10.0
±0.0
FDP
7.0
+0.5
FW
3.0
±0.0
Linke
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
6.5
+1.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+5.9
AfD
+12.3
Grüne
-12.6
SPD
-1.0
FDP
-3.5
FW
±0.0
Linke
-2.1
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1100 respondents – 23.10.2023-27.10.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 30%, AfD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 10%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 1.5%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 56.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (23.10.2023 - 27.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
13
Grüne
27
FDP
9
CDU
41
AfD
30
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + AfD
71
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
68
CDU + SPD + FDP
63
CDU + SPD
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 23.10.2023 and 27.10.2023 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 30%, AfD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 10%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.