Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 16.01.2024

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+3.0
Grüne
22.0
±0.0
AfD
18.0
-2.0
SPD
9.0
-3.0
FDP
7.0
-1.0
FW
3.0
+3.0
Sonst.
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+7.9
Grüne
-10.6
AfD
+8.3
SPD
-2.0
FDP
-3.5
FW
±0.0
Infratest dimap – 1152 respondents – 11.01.2024-16.01.2024
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 18%, SPD 9%, FDP 7% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 61.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1152 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.01.2024 - 16.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
12
Grüne
30
FDP
10
CDU
44
AfD
24
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
74
CDU + AfD
68
CDU + SPD + FDP
66
CDU + SPD
56
CDU + FDP
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 11.01.2024 and 16.01.2024 among 1152 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 18%, SPD 9%, FDP 7% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.