Brandenburg: Poll by Forsa from 10.01.2024

Brandenburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
32.0
+15.0
SPD
22.0
-6.0
CDU
16.0
+2.0
Grüne
7.0
-4.0
Linke
6.0
-5.0
BVB/FW
5.0
-3.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
FDP
3.0
-3.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
AfD
+2.8
SPD
-8.9
CDU
+3.9
Grüne
+2.9
Linke
+3.0
BVB/FW
+2.4
BSW
-9.5
FDP
+2.2
Forsa – 1007 respondents – 06.01.2024-10.01.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 34% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 40% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Brandenburg from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 32%, SPD 22%, CDU 16%, Grüne 7%, Die Linke 6%, BVB/FW 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD and BSW. With 25.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (06.01.2024 - 10.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
6
6.8%
SPD
22
25%
Grüne
7
8%
CDU
16
18.2%
BVB/FW
5
5.7%
AfD
32
36.4%
AfD + CDU
54.5%
SPD + CDU + Grüne
51.1%
SPD + CDU + BVB/FW
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 06.01.2024 and 10.01.2024 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 32%, SPD 22%, CDU 16%, Grüne 7%, Die Linke 6%, BVB/FW 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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