Hamburg: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 29.01.2020

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
33.0
+1.0
Grüne
24.0
+1.0
CDU
14.0
+1.0
Linke
10.0
-3.0
FDP
7.0
-1.0
AfD
7.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-0.5
Grüne
+5.5
CDU
-5.8
Linke
-1.2
FDP
+4.7
AfD
-0.5
Trend Research Hamburg – 672 respondents – 24.01.2020-29.01.2020

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Low number of respondents

Only 672 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 43% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 57% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 33%, Grüne 24%, CDU 14%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 7% and AfD 7%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 59.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 672 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (24.01.2020 - 29.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
13
10.7%
SPD
42
34.7%
Grüne
30
24.8%
FDP
9
7.4%
CDU
18
14.9%
AfD
9
7.4%
SPD + Grüne
59.5%
SPD + CDU + FDP
57.0%
SPD + CDU
49.6%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 24.01.2020 and 29.01.2020 among 672 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, Grüne 24%, CDU 14%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 7% and AfD 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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