Hamburg: Poll by Universität Hamburg from 14.02.2020

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
34.0
-1.0
Grüne
32.0
+3.0
CDU
12.0
-3.0
Linke
7.0
-2.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
AfD
5.0
+1.0
Others
5.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
+0.5
Grüne
+13.5
CDU
-7.8
Linke
-4.2
FDP
+3.7
AfD
-2.5
Universität Hamburg – 1004 respondents – 02.02.2020-14.02.2020

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Universität Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 34%, Grüne 32%, CDU 12%, Die Linke 7%, FDP 6% and AfD 5%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 68.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Universität Hamburg. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (02.02.2020 - 14.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
9
7.4%
SPD
43
35.5%
Grüne
40
33.1%
FDP
8
6.6%
CDU
15
12.4%
AfD
6
5%
SPD + Grüne
68.6%
SPD + CDU + FDP
54.5%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
52.1%
SPD + CDU
47.9%
Grüne + CDU
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Universität Hamburg. The survey took place between 02.02.2020 and 14.02.2020 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 34%, Grüne 32%, CDU 12%, Die Linke 7%, FDP 6% and AfD 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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