Hamburg: Poll by Civey from 24.10.2022

Polling data

Grüne
30.0
+5.5
SPD
29.0
-6.4
CDU
20.0
+6.2
Linke
5.0
-3.6
AfD
5.0
-2.9
FDP
4.0
-1.2
Others
7.0
+0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
Civey – 1705 respondents – 26.09.2022-24.10.2022
No abnormalities
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
66.3
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
56.2
SPD + CDU
55.1


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 66.3% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 26.09.2022 and 24.10.2022 among 1705 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 30%, SPD 29%, CDU 20%, Die Linke 5%, AfD 5% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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