Hesse
Election trend
Parties

Hesse: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 28.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
28.5
-2.0
Grüne
21.0
±0.0
SPD
18.0
+3.0
AfD
13.5
-1.0
FDP
7.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
-6.1
Grüne
+6.2
SPD
+2.9
AfD
-4.9
FDP
+2.0
Linke
-0.1
FW
-0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1082 respondents – 24.10.2022-28.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 28.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 18%, AfD 13.5%, FDP 7%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 52.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1082 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (24.10.2022 - 28.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

110
SPD
22
Grüne
26
FDP
9
CDU
36
AfD
17
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
62
CDU + AfD + FDP
62
CDU + SPD
58
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
57

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 24.10.2022 and 28.10.2022 among 1082 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 18%, AfD 13.5%, FDP 7%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.