Hesse
Election trend
Parties

Hesse: Poll by Civey from 24.10.2018

Polling data

CDU
27.0
-1.5
SPD
22.0
-2.9
Grüne
18.5
+0.3
AfD
13.0
+1.2
Linke
8.0
+0.5
FDP
7.5
+1.9
Sonst.
4.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
-7.6
SPD
+6.9
Grüne
+3.7
AfD
-5.4
Linke
+4.9
FDP
+2.5
Civey – 4467 respondents – 18.10.2018-24.10.2018
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from Civey shows the following results: CDU 27%, SPD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18.5%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 7.5%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 51.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 4467 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (18.10.2018 - 24.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

110
Linke
9
SPD
25
Grüne
21
FDP
9
CDU
31
AfD
15
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
61
CDU + SPD
56
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
55
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
55
CDU + AfD + FDP
55
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
52

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 18.10.2018 and 24.10.2018 among 4467 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 27%, SPD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18.5%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 7.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.