Lower Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Lower Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 20.09.2022

Polling data

SPD
32.0
+1.0
CDU
28.0
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
-2.0
AfD
9.0
+2.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
-1.4
CDU
-0.1
Grüne
+2.5
AfD
-1.9
FDP
+0.3
Linke
+1.3
Infratest dimap – 1156 respondents – 15.09.2022-20.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: SPD 32%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 9%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 53.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1156 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (15.09.2022 - 20.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

135
SPD
48
Grüne
25
FDP
7
CDU
42
AfD
13
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
90
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
74
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
73
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
67

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 15.09.2022 and 20.09.2022 among 1156 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 9%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.