Lower Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Lower Saxony: Poll by INSA from 04.10.2022

Polling data

SPD
31.0
±0.0
CDU
28.0
±0.0
Grüne
16.0
-3.0
AfD
11.0
+4.0
FDP
5.0
-2.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
-2.4
CDU
-0.1
Grüne
+1.5
AfD
+0.1
FDP
+0.3
Linke
+1.3
INSA – 1000 respondents – 29.09.2022-04.10.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from INSA shows the following results: SPD 31%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, AfD 11%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (29.09.2022 - 04.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

135
SPD
46
Grüne
24
FDP
7
CDU
42
AfD
16
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
88
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
73
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
70
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
66

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 29.09.2022 and 04.10.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 31%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, AfD 11%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.