Lower Saxony: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 06.10.2022

Lower Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
33.0
+1.0
CDU
28.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
±0.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.5
-0.5
Others
4.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
-0.4
CDU
-0.1
Grüne
+1.5
AfD
-0.9
FDP
+0.3
Linke
+0.8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1046 respondents – 05.10.2022-06.10.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lower Saxony from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 28%, Grüne 16%, AfD 10%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3.5%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 53.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1046 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (05.10.2022 - 06.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD
48
35.6%
Grüne
24
17.8%
FDP
7
5.2%
CDU
41
30.4%
AfD
15
11.1%
SPD + CDU
65.9%
SPD + Grüne
53.3%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
53.3%
CDU + Grüne
48.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 05.10.2022 and 06.10.2022 among 1046 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 28%, Grüne 16%, AfD 10%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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