Lower Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 07.10.2022

Polling data

SPD
35.0
±0.0
CDU
27.0
±0.0
Grüne
15.5
±0.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
+0.5
Others
4.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
+1.6
CDU
-1.1
Grüne
+1.0
AfD
-0.9
FDP
+0.3
Linke
+0.3
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 900 respondents – 06.10.2022-07.10.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lower Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 35%, CDU 27%, Grüne 15.5%, AfD 10%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 54.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 900 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.10.2022 - 07.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD
51
37.8%
Grüne
23
17%
FDP
7
5.2%
CDU
39
28.9%
AfD
15
11.1%
SPD + CDU
66.7%
SPD + Grüne
54.8%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
51.1%
CDU + Grüne
45.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 06.10.2022 and 07.10.2022 among 900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 35%, CDU 27%, Grüne 15.5%, AfD 10%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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