Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Election trend
Parties

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 28.10.2023

Polling data

AfD
35.0
+11.0
SPD
20.0
-7.0
CDU
17.5
+2.5
Linke
8.0
±0.0
Grüne
6.5
-6.5
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Sonst.
9.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+18.3
SPD
-19.6
CDU
+4.2
Linke
-1.9
Grüne
+0.2
FDP
-1.8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1020 respondents – 19.10.2023-28.10.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 35%, SPD 20%, CDU 17.5%, Die Linke 8%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6.5% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +18.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-19.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 32.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (19.10.2023 - 28.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

71
Linke
6
SPD
17
Grüne
5
CDU
14
AfD
29
Majority requires 36 seats
AfD + CDU
43
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
36
AfD + Die Linke
35

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 19.10.2023 and 28.10.2023 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 35%, SPD 20%, CDU 17.5%, Die Linke 8%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6.5% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.