Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Election trend
Parties

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Forsa from 16.01.2024

Polling data

AfD
31.0
+10.0
SPD
21.0
-6.0
CDU
18.0
±0.0
Grüne
8.0
-1.0
Linke
8.0
-4.0
BSW
5.0
+5.0
FDP
3.0
-1.0
Sonst.
6.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+14.3
SPD
-18.6
CDU
+4.7
Grüne
+1.7
Linke
-1.9
BSW
FDP
-2.8
Forsa – 1002 respondents – 10.01.2023-16.01.2024
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 31%, SPD 21%, CDU 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8%, Die Linke 8%, BSW 5% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 31.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 371 days (10.01.2023 - 16.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

71
Linke
6
SPD
16
Grüne
6
BSW
4
CDU
14
AfD
25
Majority requires 36 seats
AfD + CDU
39
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
36
AfD + Die Linke + BSW
35

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 10.01.2023 and 16.01.2024 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 31%, SPD 21%, CDU 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8%, Die Linke 8%, BSW 5% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.